Vol. 4, No. 2, 179-190, 2005 |
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Long-term changes in covariability between continental-scale snow cover and atmospheric circulation in the northern hemisphere Kazuyuki Saito, Tetsuzo Yasunari, Takeshi Yamazaki, Kooiti Masuda and Judah Cohen
Abstract We investigated interactions between continental snow cover
extent and the large-scale atmospheric circulation variability in the Northern
Hemisphere, on a climatic scale (from seasonal to sub-decadal) for the recent
three decades. Both observations and numerical simulations were used.
Utilized snow cover data were derived from
the visible sensor (AVHRR). The indices to present the atmospheric circulation variability,
such as the Arctic Oscillation (AO), were computed from the reanalysis data. Statistical
analyses showed that the Eurasian snow cover extent SCEEUR
and the AO have a significant coherency in sub-decadal periods, with the
former leading the latter by several months. A more detailed inspection
revealed a climatological change in the sub-decadal covariability between snow
and the atmosphere in the mid 1980s. The change may be attributed to changes in
the seasonal persistency of SCEEUR, from autumn to
winter, and in strength of winter-to-spring interaction between SCEEUR
and the AO. A series of numerical experiments was performed with an atmospheric
general circulation model, to examine the importance of initial (January)
circulation anomaly patterns for the change in the winter-to-spring
interaction, and reproduced the observed change successfully.
Re-calculation of large-scale snow data using a physical snow model for the pre-satellite era
has been planned to reconstruct a dataset of a longer period with consistent
quality for an extension of the covariability research. Our preliminary attempt
showed, among other atmospheric forcing inputs, the accuracy of the surface air
temperatures is most important for a reliable re-construction.
Citation EARSeL European Association of Remote Sensing Laboratories, Strasbourg, France BIS-Verlag |